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Jordan Energy Crisis Requires an ALL JORDANIAN Solution January 30, 2012

Posted by aboosh in Egypt, Jordan, Renewable Energy.
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1 comment so far

A few days ago, I wrote a blog post about the imminent energy crisis in Jordan in the coming summer. The amount of losses that the power production in Jordan amount to about $1.8B annually. This is economically unsustainable, when compared to Jordan’s GDP of $30B ($3B of that in the form of money transfer from professionals working outside Jordan’s borders).

The main reason for these losses is the conversion to heavy fuel from the now-not-so-dependable Egyptian gas, whose pipeline was bombed 10 times in 2011. The losses are expected to weigh heavily on the Jordanians pockets, as there is a move to increase the electricity tariffs, which has already started. The increase in the tariffs will affect the citizens in a compounded way, through direct increases in the power bills, and the increase in the basic supplies due to the increase in the cost of production, transportation, and storage. The planned increase in the governmental pay, and the inflation offset raise, might be offset by this increase in living expenses, making the whole process DOA.

We have called to move Jordan to renewable clean energy, namely solar, as a part of a large strategic shift away from Jordan’s dependency on imported fossil fuel. The increased power bill makes the investment in solar energy production more feasible and attainable to more Jordanians. We all welcomed the news of the approved project to supply the city of Tafilah with solar panels based on the more-affordable solar-micro-converter technology. We believe that this is one of the stepping stones needed to market clean solar power in Jordan. We also keep the pressure on to compile and approve the Regulations of the Renewable Energy Law of 2010, particularly Article-10, which gives the individuals and groups the ability to sell the electricity over-runs back to the power grid at competitive prices.

All of this has been bright and peachy, pointing positively to a multi-fauceted movement towards solar energy production as a way to give Jordan its energy independence… Until we saw this: Regional Solar Grid in Jordan Valley with Israeli cooperation. (Jordanian online news outlets reported on it as well, followed by an uproar on social media outlets like Facebook and Twitter).

Reasons of uproar? some complex, and some simple.

Where there is a public sentiment supporting denaturalization of the relationships with the Jewish State, this project comes as a very surprising step towards naturalization with Israel.

Jordan and the Jewish State, which have signed a peace treaty in October 26, 1994, have had strained relationships recently, especially due to the Right-Winged policies adopted by the Netanyahu government, and their stance about the two-state solution, the continuation of settlement policies in the West Bank, the Apartheid wall, the Transfer Project, Jerusalem de-Arabification, and, and (you get the idea).

This Peace Treaty has not brought about the Peace we all dream of reaching, and many scholars point to the Israeli policies (and mere presence) as one of the reasons of the Arab Populous Revolt, known as the Arab Spring, against their oppressive governments, which (Arab governments) are viewed by many of Arabs as having blanket support of Israel and its racists policies.

As for Jordan, Article-6 of this Treaty dealt with rightful allocation of water resources from Jordan and Yarmouk Rivers. However, this allocation have not seen the light of day due to the mistrust of all parties in the Jordan River basin, along with chronological drought and a population explosion in the last 15 years.

All of this, puts in focus and in question the politics of creating a “regional” solar power plant. And regional here means nothing less than Israel’s “security” and “interests” being forefront in such project, with ability to divert and hoard the project resources based on its own policies, not its partners/counterparts. All is needed is one switch, and boom, we are off-the-grid.

Having energy INdependence does NOT mean having energy INTER-dependence. We advocate an all Jordanian solution to the energy crisis. An all Jordanian solution means building the plant on a Jordanian land, with Jordanian control, and meeting the Jordanian needs.

I refuse to believe that the issue is financial, since there are many funding agencies that see in the stable political environment in Jordan as a positive reason to invest $100s of Millions for renewable energy in areas that does not see a cloud but a few days a year.

If Europe and US funding is tied to mutual project with the Jewish State, then we prefer going back to our tents and living off the land.

UPDATE: A Ministry of Energy and Mineral Resources spokesperson came out today refuting the reports of this project. However, the case still remains for an expedited clean renewable energy policy that serves Jordan immediate needs, and sticking to the transparency of the government dealings in large scale projects. و لذا اقتضى التنويه


أزمة الطاقة في الأردن January 23, 2012

Posted by aboosh in Jordan, Renewable Energy.
1 comment so far

ما قراءته في صحيفة الرأي اليوم عن بلوغ احتياجات الطاقه في الأردن يوم امس (خلال منخفض جوي سريع الحركه مصحوب بمطر غزير و بعض الثلوج) الى نحو ٢،٨ جيجا واط يستوجب علينا جميعا الوقوف عليه، لأننا في الأردن حتى لو استطعنا مواكبة الربيع العربي بأقل الخسائر، فإن الصيف الاردني سيحرق جميع مكتسبات المرحلة و يغرق الأردن كله، حكومة و شعبا وسيادة، في دوامة لن يكون الخروج منها سهلا

موضوع انقطاع الغاز المصري والخسائر الهائله التي يتحملها الأردن نتيجه حرق الوقود الثقيل لإنتاج الكهرباء هو خطر استراتيجي يهدد الميزانيه ويجر الاقتصاد الاردني الى الحافه. *يتوجب* النظر والاستثمار في فروع الطاقه المتجددة جميعها خصوصا الطاقه الشمسيه

مشروع المفاعل النووي لم ولن يكون الحل بسبب الفترة الزمنية الطويلة التي يحتاجها حتى يغذي الحاجات المضطرده في الأردن ، ناهيك عن الزيادة في الاحتياجات المحلية بسبب النمو السكاني الذي يتوقع ان يصل الى ١٠ ملايين نسمه بحلول ٢٠٢٠ (٨ سنوات من الان فقط!).. ولن ادخل في موضوع انعدام مصادر المياه التي يحتاجها المفاعل.. هذا لوحده سيجعل المفاعل مفعولا به

خساره ٥ ملايين دولار يومي هي خساره نحو ١،٨ مليار دولار سنوي ستتحملها جيبه المواطن لا محاله، مما يجعل حتى الكلام في هيكله الرواتب فائتا لأوانه، لأن الزيادة القادمه في أسعار الغاز والكهرباء و الوقود، والزيادة المركبة في أسعار المواد الاساسية والتموينيه بسبب ازدياد أسعار النقل والتشغيل، ستجعل من هيكلة الرواتب مضاف الى المفعول به الفائت

يجب الإسراع بوضع تعليمات قانون الطاقة المتجددة لعام ٢٠١٠، خصوصا المادة١٠ منه، المتعلقة بالسماح للأفراد والمؤسسات بتوريد فائض الطاقه المنتجه لشركه توزيع الكهرباء بسعر تشجيعي، و العمل على انشاء صندوق مشترك بين البنوك بنسبه فائده/مرابحة قليله لدعم مشاريع الطاقة المتجددة (خصوصا الشمسيه منها) للأفراد و الشركات الصغيرة

(start ups)

الوضع يحتاج الى حل الآن. ليس بعد اسبوع او شهر او سنة. الآن نريد وضع الآلية لإنتاج الطاقة في الأردن دون الاعتماد على الأشقاء في مصر او السعوديه او قطر. لدينا الموارد، لدينا العقول، ولدينا الايام المشمسة